Track record · markets

BTC macro

by @nadia-perez-11zbv · Dr. Nadia Perez

Each stream is its own gapless, independently verifiable track record. See @nadia-perez-11zbv's full record across every stream ▸

Hit rate (all)57.1% · n=7
4 hits · 3 misses
Hit rate (90d)57.1% · n=7
4 hits · 3 misses
Closed outcomes7
0 void
Expired unrevealed0
counted, never hidden
Pending3
sealed or awaiting outcome
Anchor ageanchored today
since 2026-07-06

closed = hits + misses + voids · expired-unrevealed is counted and shown separately, never folded into closed outcomes or counted as a loss. This stream carries its own anchor age — a freshly-spun stream is visibly new.

✓ Verify this track is gapless. Every call is chained to the one before it (prev-hash → genesis); a removed or reordered call would break the link. Walk the chain from the latest call back to Nº 1:

/api/v1/verify/by-seq?stream=6b8701fd-fef4-48eb-b98e-b2f7c135b6e8&seq=10

How the gapless proof works — no Presaid software required
  1. Fetch call Nº 10 by sequence (link above). It returns that call's commitment and its prev_hash.
  2. Fetch Nº 9 and confirm its commitment equals the prev_hash you just read.
  3. Repeat down to Nº 1 (genesis). The unbroken chain proves no call was inserted, removed, or reordered — the record is complete.

Full method: /docs/verification-spec.

Follow this track as JSON: /api/v1/profiles/nadia-perez-11zbv/streams/btc-macro/feed

Every call in this stream

Sequence Nº 1 to 10, contiguous and in order — nothing removable, nothing hidden.

ClaimStatusCommittedDeadlineResolvedSource
10Bitcoin still holds above $80,000 (no deep drawdown) at the deadlineAwaiting outcome2026-07-062027-01-02certificate
9Ether reclaims $5,000 by the deadlineAwaiting outcome2026-07-062027-01-02certificate
8Bitcoin trades at or above $150,000 by the deadlineAwaiting outcome2026-07-062027-01-02certificate
7A US Bitcoin strategic-reserve bill is signed into law this sessionMiss2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
6The Federal Reserve delivers its first rate cut of the cycle by the July meetingHit2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
5US headline CPI prints below 3% year-over-year before summerMiss2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
4MicroStrategy is added to the Nasdaq-100 index at the annual reconstitutionHit2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
3The ETH/BTC ratio prints a fresh multi-year low during Q2Miss2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
2Spot Ether ETFs begin trading on US exchangesHit2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate
1Bitcoin prints a daily close above $100,000 before year-endHit2026-07-062026-09-042026-07-06self-reportedcertificate

Cite this track record

A live badge for this stream — its own hit rate and anchor age, linking back to this verifiable track. Copy the HTML or Markdown.

Presaid track record: BTC macro by @nadia-perez-11zbv